SALUTE Cuba, they have allowed an infected ship to visit their island and keep their economy going. This nonsense about a pandemic is a conspiracy from the insurance companies to avoid claims, and capitalist profit making organisation that rely on ignorance of most normal citizens. The stats of Cuba infection rates will be critical in limiting more messing up by panicking politicians, who are protecting themselves by saying their health systems don't have enough ventilators to meet the crisis.
It might help if you didn't completely misrepresent the statistics that you are supposedly basing your post on. According to that site, the death rate is about 1 in 500 for people under 40. First, that's under 40's not under 60's. Second, that's the death rate, not the number of people who needed hospital treatment, but then survived.
Absolutely right, Simon. The death rate is about 50% of those who need Intensive Care, which itself is about 50% of those who need hospital treatment. Therefore about 1 in 125 people under 40 will need hospital treatment (call it 1% to make the sums easy). This means that if you infect at say 50% of those under 40 then 0.5% of the under 40s will die, or about 0.25% of the total population, and about 1% of the population will need hospital treatment. The is around 650,000 in hospital with around 160,000 deaths. Bear in mind that the advice was that if nothing was done, 80% could be infected so I have been conservative in the figures here.
It might help if you didn't completely misrepresent the statistics that you are supposedly basing your post on. According to that site, the death rate is about 1 in 500 for people under 40. First, that's under 40's not under 60's. Second, that's the death rate, not the number of people who needed hospital treatment, but then survived.
Absolutely right, Simon. The death rate is about 50% of those who need Intensive Care, which itself is about 50% of those who need hospital treatment. Therefore about 1 in 125 people under 40 will need hospital treatment (call it 1% to make the sums easy). This means that if you infect at say 50% of those under 40 then 0.5% of the under 40s will die, or about 0.25% of the total population, and about 1% of the population will need hospital treatment. The is around 650,000 in hospital with around 160,000 deaths. Bear in mind that the advice was that if nothing was done, 80% could be infected so I have been conservative in the figures here.
