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Will HS2 Fail or Succeed?

Dave Perton
I believe it will do both, it just depends on the measure you use. In an project there are three measures of success or failure, cost, time-scale and outcome and I believe it will fail on two but succeed on the most important and have set out my argument in a blog post here https://communities.theiet.org/groups/blogpost/view/27/231/6920


The project is so complex to think costs will not overrun or timing slip is to be naive, as it is impossible to predict them when the timescales are so long and the complexity so great, but the outcome will be a success
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    It's not really being built to shave a few minutes off intercity journeys.  The real problem is that (until very recently), more and more people have been using rail travel.

    Running commuter trains that stop at every station, and high speed intercity trains, on the same line gets unworkable once the traffic gets too dense.  The real point of HS2 is to provide a new line for the fast trains, leaving the commuter trains to rattle and creep along the existing line.
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    It's not really being built to shave a few minutes off intercity journeys.  The real problem is that (until very recently), more and more people have been using rail travel.

    Running commuter trains that stop at every station, and high speed intercity trains, on the same line gets unworkable once the traffic gets too dense.  The real point of HS2 is to provide a new line for the fast trains, leaving the commuter trains to rattle and creep along the existing line.
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