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Will HS2 Fail or Succeed?

Dave Perton
I believe it will do both, it just depends on the measure you use. In an project there are three measures of success or failure, cost, time-scale and outcome and I believe it will fail on two but succeed on the most important and have set out my argument in a blog post here https://communities.theiet.org/groups/blogpost/view/27/231/6920


The project is so complex to think costs will not overrun or timing slip is to be naive, as it is impossible to predict them when the timescales are so long and the complexity so great, but the outcome will be a success
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  • Former Community Member
    0 Former Community Member
    So the government has approved a £106bn ++++ cost plus 'whatever it costs' historical railway project that hasn't yet set its ticket rates, does know its engineering costs, therefore, has no idea if it will ever be cost effective, whilst delivering 20 year out of date railway technology whilst the world moves today to future mass mobility technology such as mono-rail, hyper loop, maglev and the UK gets burned with unreliable trains that will still be delayed by the wrong leaves, snow, rain, sunshine on the lines. Completely bonkers.
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  • Former Community Member
    0 Former Community Member
    So the government has approved a £106bn ++++ cost plus 'whatever it costs' historical railway project that hasn't yet set its ticket rates, does know its engineering costs, therefore, has no idea if it will ever be cost effective, whilst delivering 20 year out of date railway technology whilst the world moves today to future mass mobility technology such as mono-rail, hyper loop, maglev and the UK gets burned with unreliable trains that will still be delayed by the wrong leaves, snow, rain, sunshine on the lines. Completely bonkers.
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