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Will HS2 Fail or Succeed?

Dave Perton
I believe it will do both, it just depends on the measure you use. In an project there are three measures of success or failure, cost, time-scale and outcome and I believe it will fail on two but succeed on the most important and have set out my argument in a blog post here https://communities.theiet.org/groups/blogpost/view/27/231/6920


The project is so complex to think costs will not overrun or timing slip is to be naive, as it is impossible to predict them when the timescales are so long and the complexity so great, but the outcome will be a success
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    HS2 will ultimately succeed, but is being delivered too slowly and by the time it is delivered will be out of date, yes it will overrun in terms of budget and delivery!

    Why do I say this, currently in China where motorways and trains run on elevated sections, including stations, and this seems to work very well, and the speed of these trains is now 350 kph, the service is very good. If the train is full, you cant buy a ticket either!

    Lots of focus on saving 30 minutes, but this is the first section, London to Scotland should be significant.
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    HS2 will ultimately succeed, but is being delivered too slowly and by the time it is delivered will be out of date, yes it will overrun in terms of budget and delivery!

    Why do I say this, currently in China where motorways and trains run on elevated sections, including stations, and this seems to work very well, and the speed of these trains is now 350 kph, the service is very good. If the train is full, you cant buy a ticket either!

    Lots of focus on saving 30 minutes, but this is the first section, London to Scotland should be significant.
Children
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