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Will HS2 Fail or Succeed?

Dave Perton
I believe it will do both, it just depends on the measure you use. In an project there are three measures of success or failure, cost, time-scale and outcome and I believe it will fail on two but succeed on the most important and have set out my argument in a blog post here https://communities.theiet.org/groups/blogpost/view/27/231/6920


The project is so complex to think costs will not overrun or timing slip is to be naive, as it is impossible to predict them when the timescales are so long and the complexity so great, but the outcome will be a success
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    "It hasn’t helped that HS2 and the government failed to adequately compensate businesses and households – had they much of the negative campaigning would have been quashed and they could have focused their attention to the details to optimise the design."


    It's a bit more than that, there are two other very big issues which affect and concern people not on the route (and hence a much larger number of people):
    • Whether the HS2 money could have been better spent on other projects (rail or otherwise)

    • The environmental damage, in particular the loss of ancient woodlands. That may be thought of as a matter of compensation, but it isn't. When it's gone it's gone (at least in human lifetime measures). 


    To persuade people that it's a good thing those two issues must be addressed.


    Thanks,


    Andy
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  • 0
    "It hasn’t helped that HS2 and the government failed to adequately compensate businesses and households – had they much of the negative campaigning would have been quashed and they could have focused their attention to the details to optimise the design."


    It's a bit more than that, there are two other very big issues which affect and concern people not on the route (and hence a much larger number of people):
    • Whether the HS2 money could have been better spent on other projects (rail or otherwise)

    • The environmental damage, in particular the loss of ancient woodlands. That may be thought of as a matter of compensation, but it isn't. When it's gone it's gone (at least in human lifetime measures). 


    To persuade people that it's a good thing those two issues must be addressed.


    Thanks,


    Andy
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