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Will HS2 Fail or Succeed?

Dave Perton
I believe it will do both, it just depends on the measure you use. In an project there are three measures of success or failure, cost, time-scale and outcome and I believe it will fail on two but succeed on the most important and have set out my argument in a blog post here https://communities.theiet.org/groups/blogpost/view/27/231/6920


The project is so complex to think costs will not overrun or timing slip is to be naive, as it is impossible to predict them when the timescales are so long and the complexity so great, but the outcome will be a success
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  • Former Community Member
    0 Former Community Member
    I agree, and as stated previously, raised track over motorways and new less environmentally vandalism new raised routes, using maglev or hyper loop, is the mass transit technology of the future. Covid-19 has shown that working patterns will change quite significantly in the coming decades to remote and non-office-based methods, so many of the passenger number assumptions are no longer valid for a fixed-seat and train size, no matter the passenger demand, HS2 train. Thus we should accept the wasted sunk costs of HS2 now, stop forging ahead not matter how stupid with 20th century train technology, review and restart with a sustainable, adaptable and future-resilient modular and demand led passenger and cargo mobility technology.
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  • Former Community Member
    0 Former Community Member
    I agree, and as stated previously, raised track over motorways and new less environmentally vandalism new raised routes, using maglev or hyper loop, is the mass transit technology of the future. Covid-19 has shown that working patterns will change quite significantly in the coming decades to remote and non-office-based methods, so many of the passenger number assumptions are no longer valid for a fixed-seat and train size, no matter the passenger demand, HS2 train. Thus we should accept the wasted sunk costs of HS2 now, stop forging ahead not matter how stupid with 20th century train technology, review and restart with a sustainable, adaptable and future-resilient modular and demand led passenger and cargo mobility technology.
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