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Will HS2 Fail or Succeed?

Dave Perton
I believe it will do both, it just depends on the measure you use. In an project there are three measures of success or failure, cost, time-scale and outcome and I believe it will fail on two but succeed on the most important and have set out my argument in a blog post here https://communities.theiet.org/groups/blogpost/view/27/231/6920


The project is so complex to think costs will not overrun or timing slip is to be naive, as it is impossible to predict them when the timescales are so long and the complexity so great, but the outcome will be a success
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    The cost of £106 billion and the time scales will massively over run. Public servants are no match for big business so the tax payer can expect to be comprehensively shafted. I think the final cost wil be double that with ministers and civil servants being told frequently just another £5 billion needed to finish the job due to unforeseen problems. 


    The proposed cost for the Olypics started out at £3 billion for 3 weeks of hop skipping and jumping. It finished up at around £25 billion with all costs taken into account. That wonderful infrastructure left behind is still consuming tax payer subsidies. One of the first big spends was to book all the best rooms in the Park Lane hotels and the special traffic lanes so that the officials could travel to the event without being impeded by all those tax payers trying to get to work.


    Cross Rail is another example of massive cost overrun and years behind programme with consultants and contractors milking the tax payer for what should have already been done having been paid for first time around. 

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    The cost of £106 billion and the time scales will massively over run. Public servants are no match for big business so the tax payer can expect to be comprehensively shafted. I think the final cost wil be double that with ministers and civil servants being told frequently just another £5 billion needed to finish the job due to unforeseen problems. 


    The proposed cost for the Olypics started out at £3 billion for 3 weeks of hop skipping and jumping. It finished up at around £25 billion with all costs taken into account. That wonderful infrastructure left behind is still consuming tax payer subsidies. One of the first big spends was to book all the best rooms in the Park Lane hotels and the special traffic lanes so that the officials could travel to the event without being impeded by all those tax payers trying to get to work.


    Cross Rail is another example of massive cost overrun and years behind programme with consultants and contractors milking the tax payer for what should have already been done having been paid for first time around. 

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