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Will HS2 Fail or Succeed?

Dave Perton
I believe it will do both, it just depends on the measure you use. In an project there are three measures of success or failure, cost, time-scale and outcome and I believe it will fail on two but succeed on the most important and have set out my argument in a blog post here https://communities.theiet.org/groups/blogpost/view/27/231/6920


The project is so complex to think costs will not overrun or timing slip is to be naive, as it is impossible to predict them when the timescales are so long and the complexity so great, but the outcome will be a success
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    The contrary is true, the government has decided to borrow to spend its way if of recession, by investing in infrastructure. There is never a right time for a project of this duration. Now is as good a time as any. 


    I do agree it it would have been better to start in Glasgow and Edinburgh and build south. Maybe that is still possible, parallel build from Scotland to Manchester & Liverpool, while building London to Birmingham, then just join up the middle
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    The contrary is true, the government has decided to borrow to spend its way if of recession, by investing in infrastructure. There is never a right time for a project of this duration. Now is as good a time as any. 


    I do agree it it would have been better to start in Glasgow and Edinburgh and build south. Maybe that is still possible, parallel build from Scotland to Manchester & Liverpool, while building London to Birmingham, then just join up the middle
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