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Ethics of Big Data Analysis : US Election Result Expectations

Former Community Member
Former Community Member

The Trump Camp is understandably disappointed with this unexpected election result.



However, it can be fairly expected that a lot of their elderly supporters in some of their established constituencies, may not have had access to voting at the time of Pandemic, mainly due to the elderly being more susceptible to the virus and choosing the conservative decision to not take the added risk of life. Here, it is not by choice, but by loss of freedom due to Pandemic, such citizens may have been deprived of their fundamental rights. Was the loss of this conservative sentiment amongst the elderly - and its representation in the cast ballots, the cause of such unexpected defeat?



Big Data set comparisons would suggest that some of the states with high elderly population, obtained an unexpected result from the US Election. Hence, as per the value of Big Data Analysis, should such identified discrepancies be worth further appeals - or should such data be ignored as a human observation fallacy? Indeed, the future of such Big Data technologies are in these important ethical considerations.



uscode.house.gov/statviewer.htm



www.nbcnews.com/.../president-results



www.prb.org/.../



 


Parents
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    The problem of older voters and distant polling stations is not new - though the US is unusual in being a first world country with widely spaced polling stations and long queues to vote, and a highly fragmented system, where each state seems to have it's own rulebook.

    The mistake I suggest, was not to encourage those older voters to trust and to use the postal voting system - it is after all exactly what it is there for. The Democrats strongly endorsed postal voting for those unable or unwilling to travel on the day - the Republicans scorned that process and are maybe reaping some consequence of their decision.

    An unintended consequence of this election may be an update of some of the more arcane mail in voting and counting processes in some states. The results of analysis such as you propose may well feed into that sort of review, once the current dust storm has settled.

    Equally, it is interesting to note that the win would have been even bigger had representation been proportional, instead of quantised into all one way or all the other for a given state, so it would be very brave to argue the result is not fairly representing the opinion of the people of America.
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  • 0
    The problem of older voters and distant polling stations is not new - though the US is unusual in being a first world country with widely spaced polling stations and long queues to vote, and a highly fragmented system, where each state seems to have it's own rulebook.

    The mistake I suggest, was not to encourage those older voters to trust and to use the postal voting system - it is after all exactly what it is there for. The Democrats strongly endorsed postal voting for those unable or unwilling to travel on the day - the Republicans scorned that process and are maybe reaping some consequence of their decision.

    An unintended consequence of this election may be an update of some of the more arcane mail in voting and counting processes in some states. The results of analysis such as you propose may well feed into that sort of review, once the current dust storm has settled.

    Equally, it is interesting to note that the win would have been even bigger had representation been proportional, instead of quantised into all one way or all the other for a given state, so it would be very brave to argue the result is not fairly representing the opinion of the people of America.
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