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Flexible futures

Interesting post from UR

Flexible Futures



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  • I have already done the thing of reducing my working week to 4 days, and taking the 20% cut in pay.  On the plus side, the way the tax bands work, it means that I don't actually take a 20% hit to my take-home pay.  With the UK government freezing these bands, this should make a significant reduction in the amount of tax I have to pay.

    The problem with the system we have is that people are expected to work 5 days a week.  If productivity goes up because of automation, that means the same number of people make more stuff.  You end up in a spiral where people are making more and more stuff, which people have to buy, and then throw away because they have too much stuff and nowhere to put it.

  • You end up in a spiral where people are making more and more stuff, which people have to buy, and then throw away because they have too much stuff and nowhere to put it.

    Quite! And have to be driven to consume because the economy is based on consumption. Come the revolution!!! Joy I count myself really lucky that I've always worked in industries (quite diverse industries) where the typical product service life is 25 years, and in practice can be up to 50 or more - very unusual for electronics.

    My mother has always had an interesting perspective on this, she's 106 so grew up in the 20s and 30s in a seriously poor household, and its probably genuinely the least materialistic person I know - having been used to surviving with nothing she never felt the need for "things" as she used to put it. (Interestingly one of her sisters in particular went from the same background in a very different direction. Which I think is not uncommon.) As she's always said, there are lots of jobs that need to be done, so why are people having to work at jobs that don't really need to be done. A Nobel Prize in Economics for whoever can solve that one.

    The exception of course is guitars. There is no limit to the number of guitars that need to be produced, as the correct number of guitars to be owned is N+1 where N is the current number of guitars one owns, (Some people claim it's bikes or motorbikes, but they're wrong). I almost but don't entirely, take after my mother...

    Yes that was the lightbulb moment when I realised the tax implication, and found HMRCs really good online tax / income estimator.

  • You end up in a spiral where people are making more and more stuff, which people have to buy, and then throw away because they have too much stuff and nowhere to put it.

    I don't think that there is anything new in this. The utopian future where machines do the menial work and we play golf (or the guitar) does not exist.

    At risk of being political, the fatal flaw in Ms Truss's strategy was that growth could only be obtained in two ways: (1) higher productivity, which cannot happen overnight, or (2) more people, but we sent them packing almost three years ago. What hadn't occurred to me was what Simon says - somebody has to buy the stuff.

  • As she's always said, there are lots of jobs that need to be done, so why are people having to work at jobs that don't really need to be done. A Nobel Prize in Economics for whoever can solve that one.

    I don't think you need a Nobel Prize to solve this one.

    It's down to money...

    The difference between work and jobs is that jobs are paid whereas work is not necessarily paid. A person offering a job has money to pay the worker. If a person wants work to be done but doesn't have the means to pay a worker, then they are not offering a job.

  • Hi Arran,

    However I'd suggest that's not solving the problem, that's identifying it. The problem is how you share resources (remembering that "money" or "pay" is only a token for resources)  so that those who are doing the work that needs to be done to support society have access to resources to live. The current issues in the UK public sector is a fine example of this - and at present, as all political parties are finding, there is no clear solution. Fortunately not our problem to solve (except indirectly as voters) as it's the type of problem engineers are really bad at solving (based on my experience of engineers who become managers and then try to use engineering approaches to solve human problems...)

    Thanks,

    Andy

  • Fortunately not our problem to solve (except indirectly as voters) as it's the type of problem engineers are really bad at solving (based on my experience of engineers who become managers and then try to use engineering approaches to solve human problems...)

    I question and dispute this...

    There are countries that were underdeveloped back in the 1970s and 80s that are now quite well developed with thriving engineering industries which have engineers in senior government positions.

    Even the British prime minister who is the last worthy of the title of great statesman was an industrial chemist.

    What sort of people do you think make the best managers, and why?

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  • Fortunately not our problem to solve (except indirectly as voters) as it's the type of problem engineers are really bad at solving (based on my experience of engineers who become managers and then try to use engineering approaches to solve human problems...)

    I question and dispute this...

    There are countries that were underdeveloped back in the 1970s and 80s that are now quite well developed with thriving engineering industries which have engineers in senior government positions.

    Even the British prime minister who is the last worthy of the title of great statesman was an industrial chemist.

    What sort of people do you think make the best managers, and why?

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