Iberien Peninsular Blackout

Any thoughts/information on what happened? Was it a lack of spinning reserve?

Was it " The Portuguese operator, REN, said the outage was caused by a “rare atmospheric phenomenon”, with extreme temperature variations in Spain causing “anomalous oscillations” in very high-voltage lines."

as is written in the Guardian?

Electricity restored to 90% of Spain and most of Portugal after massive power outage | Spain | The Guardian

The Italien blackout from a few years ago had a definate cause in the tripping of interconnetors from Switzerland during a storm.

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  • The next report from ENTSO-E on the Iberian blackout has now been published:

    Grid Incident in Spain and Portugal on 28 April 2025 » ICS Investigation Expert Panel » Factual Report » 3 October 2025

    This suggests that the cause was a large quantity of various renewables going off line.

    'Several important generation trips occurred from 12:32:00 onwards. Between 12:32:00.000 and 12:32:57.000, there was a loss of 208MW identified distributed wind and solar generators in northern and southern Spain, as well as an increase in net load in the distribution grids of approximately 317MW, which might be due to the disconnection of small embedded generators​ <1MW (mainly rooftop​​ PV) or to an actual increase in load or to a combination of both. The reasons for these events are not known. From 12:32:57.000 until 12:33:18.020, major disconnection events occurred in the regions of Granada, Badajoz, Sevilla, Segovia, Huelva, and Cáceres, which resulted in an additional loss of generation of at least 2GW (the effects of frequency deviation suggest a loss of even 2.2GW).'

    The reasons for ​for the trips are not stated.

  • We have developed AC grid systems which work very well with rotating generation and can accept an amount of inverter sourced power.

    Don't forget that there are plenty of examples of systems that are 100% inverter driven - e.g so called "off grid" system, where proportionally, the problem of matching supply with demand is if anything a much greater problem (e.g. one appliance suddenly switching on or off could represent a sudden change of tens of percent of the generating capacity - swings of magnitude that the national grid would never have to deal with (and would probably collapse if it was asked to). And these "mini grids" probably less diversity in terms of power factor of loads and so on as well. For sure scale can bring extra challenges (e.g. oscillations on lines that are hundreds of miles long), but I've yet to see any insurmountable challenges.

       - Andy.

  • Is the steam engine flywheel the latest in technology we consider?

    Given the recent Rail 200 celebrations it's interesting to remember Richard Trevithick's 1804 locomotive, where one reason for its failure was because the cast iron rails (i.e. the infrastructure) couldn't take the weight. However a solution came along, which was to re-engineer the infrastructure.

    And of course before that James Watt had tried to prevent Richard Trevithick's development of high pressure steam on the grounds that it wouldn't work - missing the technical developments in metallurgy which meant that it could. 

    It's really easy to fall into a "not invented here" mindset, I'm embarrassed to say I've done it myself over the years ("digital audio will never replace analogue" c. 1990, "axle counters will never replace track circuits" c. 2000).  Of course new technology brings new challenges. But as you say   they're often not insurmountable - in fact they keep us employed!

    Not to say being cautious is a bad thing. I might be persuaded one day that autonomous cars are not considerably more dangerous overall than human driven cars - just not today. But, unless it actually breaks the laws of physics, we should be wary of considering any technology as inherently unfeasible. 

  • In some ways it's frightening to look at what the Chinese are achieving in many areas where they don't have our ball and chain historical infrastructure. 

    A while back I was looking at their MMMC (Modular Multilevel Converter)

    long distance transmission line that did AC-AC frequency conversion. On the conventional generation we forget just how fast we can make electronics respond and provide phase jumps as required. 

    In my early years I worked at NEI Parsons (Turbine generators) and a key feature I saw was the need to avoid transformer saturation during startup, called V/f monitoring, and then later saw the same effects with zero-crossing solid state switching which had a similar hysteresis based saturation issue. It is very easy to get locked into a particular technology stack, that falls over when another techno-stack comes along (Software engineers every 6-months!)

  • There seems to be a general agreement that to just keep adding inverted coupled equipment to a conventional grid is not going to work and will result in various stability problems.

    There are certainly technical solutions available, but are they viable? If you are starting from scratch or from a very small area system there are usable solutions. If you have ‘Ball and Chain Historical Infrastructure’ (I like that phrase) then it is rather more difficult. How much time , money and resources would you have to invest to upgrade a 50 or 60Hz grid to remain stable under rapidly varying renewable feeds? Would you ever get a payback? It is often quoted that the energy payback for wind turbines is around 1 year and solar PV 2 years. This is at the connection point. If you have to add batteries, pumped storage, hydrogen systems, new grid segments, DC links, synchronous capacitors etc. would there be any payback on energy, resources or financially?

    Another Ball and Chain Historical Infrastructure problem is the British Railway loading gauge. Britain was the first and started out with the smallest. Now this places significant restrictions on what can be carried on British tracks. Could the loading gauge be enlarged? Technically yes, practically no.

  • UK railways are a bad example - there is not one historical loading gauge for a start but many historical ones.
    But, starting with the most heavily used routes, there is a concerted programme of raising bridges and widening tunnels to allow modern container traffic, (increasing to the euro W12 gauge is usually preferred) and enough height to permit overhead electrification with pantographs. It will however take decades, and probably like electrification, which has been on-going now for over a century and is not even 40% of the network track length, will falter on the hard bits.
    Mike.

  • There are certainly technical solutions available, but are they viable? If you are starting from scratch or from a very small area system there are usable solutions. If you have ‘Ball and Chain Historical Infrastructure’ (I like that phrase) then it is rather more difficult. How much time , money and resources would you have to invest to upgrade a 50 or 60Hz grid to remain stable under rapidly varying renewable feeds? Would you ever get a payback? It is often quoted that the energy payback for wind turbines is around 1 year and solar PV 2 years. This is at the connection point. If you have to add batteries, pumped storage, hydrogen systems, new grid segments, DC links, synchronous capacitors etc. would there be any payback on energy, resources or financially?

    We will need batteries.  The good news is that they keep coming down in price.  Once you have them, they aren't just a backup in case there's no wind and no sun.  They can be used every day for peak supply clipping by charging them up whenever electricity wholesale prices are lowest.

  • In my experience the loading gauge is the least of our problems in UK railways! In 30 years plus in the industry I've never known it come up as an issue - falls well into the "nice to have". Personally I suspect that getting ERTMS properly rolled out would be a much more practicable solution to the immediate capacity problems. Which has taken 25 years so far...

  • the good news is that we have over 5GW of batteries connected to the GB system, plus all the Tesla power walls hiding behind the meter. There's a lot a more in the pipeline. yes, they're used to clip the peaks. they're also used to stabilise the system by responding to the frequency: the classical relationship between power and frequency still holds true

  • The rail gauge analogy isn't the right one. The wires aren't being changed. It's the signalling that's being upgraded as the steam engines are being phased out, and newer faster trains, with digital controls are being introduced...  Let's not take the analogy too far.

    a general agreement that to just keep adding inverted coupled equipment to a conventional grid is not going to work and will result in various stability problems.

    I feel this is the 'Luddite' problem of not appreciating where the changes come from. When, by mandate, inverter coupled equipment is neutered as simply negative load (grid following), rather than being generational power that will support the grid, then these major grid trips will continue to happen.   Yesterday's status quo was a worthwhile reference, but is not a vision for the future. 

    There are plenty of ways of creating grid forming 'inverter' based designs that don't have to depend on e.g. hand drawn Nichols charts and computer simulations based old analog approaches and equations.

    The missing element in the discussion is the 'short term' storage of energy, and the confusion about the purpose of "Inertia" and various "Compensators".  Once the system is far more 'electronic' (and with batteries;-) in its response characteristics, it will be the switch gear trip settings that will need to be addressed (as it always was). 

    Older simulations/models almost always fail when new technologies arrive because they have no way of integrating the new capability into the old capability approach. There are apocryphal stories of a kangaroo counting simulation firing the default beach ball weapon back at the approaching counting helicopter because they'd simply reskinned a war game simulation. Or the war games that showed that InfraRed technology had no effect on night fighting because the simulation didn't cover/allow time of night effects. Lots of hidden implementation details catching folks out.

    We are seeing the same in power system design where simulations & models, essentially are not yet fit for the disruptive nature of CO2 reduction and the renewables replacement. There are still plenty of hidden issues in power systems, such as the use of 'pu' (per unit; and it's rationale), phase jumps, etc.

  • There's also the V/f transformer saturation limitations. 

    Which 'classical' frequency - power relationship were you thinking (i.e. wondering about hidden assumptions that bring frequency into the I.ac * V.ac = P.ac ?)

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  • There's also the V/f transformer saturation limitations. 

    Which 'classical' frequency - power relationship were you thinking (i.e. wondering about hidden assumptions that bring frequency into the I.ac * V.ac = P.ac ?)

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  • the classical relationship that a power shortfall leads to a drop in frequency, which can be corrected by injecting more power into the system. it's how both steam turbine governors and modern frequency-responsive battery systems work: there are smarter engineers than me out there, who can successfully integrate the old and the new

  • Thanks; That, for me, is the flywheel temporary energy storage of the rotating inertia.

    It also shows how we can easily leap past an 'obvious' issue in discussions that can become 'untrue' when there's a technology update. We only get rotation rate drops because we were using rotation based temporary energy storage. If we aren't using rotation based energy storage we don't (automatically) get a drop in frequency.

    We can also fall into the frequency-phase trap where it's unclear where we have set the reference, both locally and globally, such as : "Are we still maintaining electric synchronous clocks to the level that we used to, given most have been phased out". Locally (to a generator), we talk of both frequency changes, and phase changes, in the same discussion not realising the confusion.

    We can know the destination frequency/phase before we generate, now that most lines have optic fibre incorporated (Synaptec..).

    Thanks again for clarifying.