Bill Gates about turn on Climate Change

Bill Gates says climate crisis won’t cause ‘humanity’s demise’ in call to shift focus to ‘improving lives’

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/28/bill-gates-climate-crisis-pivot

Much as I have said all along we have a climate problem not a climate emergency. We need to reduce our consumption of our finite resources and reduce our impact on our planet.

This needs to be done on a sensible time scale and on a science and engineering basis not on emotion and dogma.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The billionaire Microsoft co-founder criticized what he described as a “doomsday view of climate change” which is focusing “too much on near-term emissions goals”.

“Although climate change will have serious consequences – particularly for people in the poorest countries – it will not lead to humanity’s demise. People will be able to live and thrive in most places on Earth for the foreseeable future.”

“Although climate change will hurt poor people more than anyone else, for the vast majority of them it will not be the only or even the biggest threat to their lives and welfare,” Gates wrote.

“The biggest problems are poverty and disease, just as they always have been. Understanding this will let us focus our limited resources on interventions that will have the greatest impact for the most vulnerable people.”

He said the Cop30 climate summit, which will bring together world leaders in the Brazilian rainforest city of Belém in November, was “a chance to refocus on the metric that should count even more than emissions and temperature change: improving lives”.

 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Maybe at last the world will see sense and stop wasting resources on wind turbines, solar panel and batteries in the somewhat mistaken belief that this will ‘Save the Planet”

Parents
  • not a climate emergency

    I suppose a lot depends on what you think the reaction to the word "emergency" should be. In a domestic setting an "emergency" (e.g. something involving calling an ambulance) would typically mean dropping absolutely everything else - don't worry about eating, certainly no taking any breaks or going off shopping, just get on with addressing the one emergency task in hand. At A&E though the same emergency will elicit rather a different response - certainly it would be a high priority, but not at all to the exclusion of everything else - staff will still have breaks, the floors will still be cleaned, paperwork will still be done. In other-words things go on pretty much as normal, but perhaps with more emphasis of keeping a primary task at the front of your mind and making sure other things don't get in the way of that too much. I can't say what the people who invented the phase had in mind and how is should apply to organisations, but I might suspect something nearer the latter than the former.

    In our case, it seems to me we can't just rely on the status quo ante at the default starting point for the future - times are changing and we need to work with those changes, we have practically no coal mines left, North Sea oil and gas is in terminal decline, nuclear has a very poor reputation amongst voters (who elect those who need to give permission for such things). Maybe the tech we're coming up with at the moment isn't the answer, but at least it's a start.

       - Andy.

  • It is interesting to read the full document and also to look behind what he has written. Bill Gates is certainly intelligent and is capable of analysing the data that is out there.

    https://www.gatesnotes.com/home/home-page-topic/reader/three-tough-truths-about-climate

    The three truths are:

    1) Climate change is a serious problem, but it will not be the end of civilisation.

    The doom mongers have been prophesying disaster for years and none of the predictions have come true. Most people are now just getting bored of the activists crying wolf. A new more rational approach is required.

     

    2) Temperature is not the best way to measure our progress on climate.

    Global average temperature is a very nebulous quantity to base vast investments on. People’s health and wellbeing is more important. The question behind this is what actually is global average temperature? How is it defined and how is it calibrated against ‘pre industrial’ temperatures.

     

    3) Health and prosperity are the best defense against climate change.

    “What happens to the number of projected deaths from climate change when you account for the expected economic growth of low-income countries over the rest of this century? The answer: It falls by more than 50 percent.”

    Healthy people will survive and adapt. Disease kills far more than climate change or natural disasters.

     

    He then proposes two priorities for COP 30:

    1) Drive the Green Premium to zero.

    The green solutions are currently not actually affordable. Can they ever be? The strike prices for wind are not coming down as shown by the recent capacity auctions. £44/MWh is a myth.

     

    2) Be rigorous about measuring impact.

    Don’t just follow the dogma do some calculations to see if changes are really beneficial. Is CCS really worth an extra 20% consumption of fuel?

Reply
  • It is interesting to read the full document and also to look behind what he has written. Bill Gates is certainly intelligent and is capable of analysing the data that is out there.

    https://www.gatesnotes.com/home/home-page-topic/reader/three-tough-truths-about-climate

    The three truths are:

    1) Climate change is a serious problem, but it will not be the end of civilisation.

    The doom mongers have been prophesying disaster for years and none of the predictions have come true. Most people are now just getting bored of the activists crying wolf. A new more rational approach is required.

     

    2) Temperature is not the best way to measure our progress on climate.

    Global average temperature is a very nebulous quantity to base vast investments on. People’s health and wellbeing is more important. The question behind this is what actually is global average temperature? How is it defined and how is it calibrated against ‘pre industrial’ temperatures.

     

    3) Health and prosperity are the best defense against climate change.

    “What happens to the number of projected deaths from climate change when you account for the expected economic growth of low-income countries over the rest of this century? The answer: It falls by more than 50 percent.”

    Healthy people will survive and adapt. Disease kills far more than climate change or natural disasters.

     

    He then proposes two priorities for COP 30:

    1) Drive the Green Premium to zero.

    The green solutions are currently not actually affordable. Can they ever be? The strike prices for wind are not coming down as shown by the recent capacity auctions. £44/MWh is a myth.

     

    2) Be rigorous about measuring impact.

    Don’t just follow the dogma do some calculations to see if changes are really beneficial. Is CCS really worth an extra 20% consumption of fuel?

Children
No Data