This discussion has been locked.
You can no longer post new replies to this discussion. If you have a question you can start a new discussion

How do we think they are doing now?

So, in a provocative curious mood on the eve of Easter w/end I began to wonder about PV panels.

There must be many by now which have been in service for 10 years or more.

How do we think they are doing in comparison to when they were new?

How does, or rather, what is a typical rate in efficiency fall-off over time?

My guess is that many, especially those installed on dwellings with difficult accessible roofs will not have been looked at nor cleaned for at least a decade if they have been in service for that long.


What do we reckon? Would a figure of say 50% or less be an unreasonable estimate of today's efficiency level for a decade old installation?

I wonder if Greta does a PV cleaning round in the same way window cleaners do?

Happy Easter.
  • 50% would be terrible and someone would need to find out what's gone wrong.  The panels usually have a rated life of about 25 years.  Mine are now over 8 years old and working fine, even though they have only been cleaned once in that time.


    My panels are rated at 3.4kWp.  The best I have got in the last month is 3118W, which isn't too bad for March.
  • Their efficiency is one thing but are they being used to best individual benefit? Feeding back into the supply network isn’t really worth the effort, perhaps the EV roll out might find a better purpose for them.
  • On the subject of renewebles, I read today that there is talk of going for 'Green Steelmaking' by running electric arc furnaces from windmill output!

    These so-called 'Scientific Journalists' really have no idea do they?
  • Well, apparently steel does not need to contain carbon any more, which is why that proposed pit in Cumberland is not required. ??
  • whjohnson:

    On the subject of renewebles, I read today that there is talk of going for 'Green Steelmaking' by running electric arc furnaces from windmill output!

    These so-called 'Scientific Journalists' really have no idea do they?


    All currently used bulk steel making proceses use coke as both the heat source AND as the chemical feedstock that reduces iron oxide to liquid iron, and then adds carbon to molten iron to make steel..

    An electric arc could be used instead of burning coke for the heat, I am not aware of this being done to make "new" steel, though it is widely used for steel recycling.

    Carbon would still be needed to reduce iron oxide to liquid iron, and then form steel which contains a mixture of iron and carbon. The amount needed would be very much smaller than when it is burnt as the fuel supply. Biochar made from waste wood would be suitable.


    Another way to reduce iron oxide to metallic iron is to produce hydrogen and oxygen by electrolysis of water. Burn these gases in a furnace, with hydrogen being present in excess of that required for perfect combustion. This will produce a reducing atmosphere and turn iron oxide into iron. No carbon needed at this stage. Carbon would still needed to add to the iron to make steel, but the small amount needed could be from biochar as above.


    Either process needs a great deal of electricity, but there is no reason why this can not be produced from wind turbines.


    Neither process is used on a significant scale at present, therefore I reluctantly support the proposed coal mine for coking coal.


  • lyledunn:

    Their efficiency is one thing but are they being used to best individual benefit? Feeding back into the supply network isn’t really worth the effort, perhaps the EV roll out might find a better purpose for them. 


    If you've got an installation that's a few years old, then by far the most important thing is "farming" subsidies.  The government went a bit mad on subsidies in the early years.  As a result, my overall energy bills every year are strongly negative - I get paid more every year for generation than I spend on gas and electricity combined.  Given that, what I do with the electricity I generate is largely lost in the noise.


    When my original inverter failed after only 6 years (some early ones were very poorly designed), I got a new one with a battery attached.  I can be smug posting from my computer at 9.30pm, running entirely on battery power.  But actually the economics don't make much sense.  Batteries are still expensive, and I actually lose a bit in subsidies.  Charging a battery and then discharging it is never 100% efficient.  On the plus side, I actually got to use "islanded" mode for the first time during a power cut last Monday.  I switched the house to solar-only and ran off-grid for a few hours.


    The economics for new installs are totally different, and it only makes sense if you use electricity continuously during the day.


  • In fact, I have found that the variation between years is far greater than any reduction in efficiency.


    My panels were installed in 2011 and paid for themselves in 8 years.  I have kept figures since the start and I could give generation week by week since then.  The annual generation is (calendar year January to December)

    2012 2718 kWh,

    2013  2696 kWh

    2014  2896 kWh

    2015  2786 kWh

    2016  2756 kWh

    2017  2771 kWh

    2018  2959 kWh

    2019  2851 kWh

    2020  2989 kWh.

    I was expecting a reduction, and 10% would have disappointed me but not surprised but so far it is not measurable.  I don't clean them, they are largely self-cleaning.


    David
  • My experience is the same - no obvious decline in output at all (if anything the recent trend has been upward) -


    Figures for my 2.14kWp system are:

    2012 1785kWh

    2013 1822

    2014 1743

    2015 1841

    2016 1778

    2017 1821

    2018 1908

    2019 1905

    2020 1897

     and likewise my panels only ever get cleaned by rain and the snow sliding off them.

      - Andy.
  • I suspect there’s thousands of “Rent a roof” installations that don’t work at all, because the actual owners of the equipment will not pay for repairs and maintenance.
  • My experience is the same - no obvious decline in output at all (if anything the recent trend has been upward) -


    Figures for my 2.14kWp system are:

    2012 1785kWh

    2013 1822

    2014 1743

    2015 1841

    2016 1778

    2017 1821

    2018 1908

    2019 1905

    2020 1897

     and likewise my panels only ever get cleaned by rain and the snow sliding off them.

      - Andy.



    It's good to know that someone else keeps meticulous records.  My system is 3.4kWp, but half faces south east and the other half south west.  The result is a reduced peak output but for longer through the day.


    David